Weekly market analysis covering Singapore, US, Hong Kong and China — stocks, REITs, ETFs and trading perspectives.

Saturday, January 16, 2016

Weekly Wrap

The bloody fall continued for this week. With indices all fell from 2-9%, on YTD basis, shanghai has declined 18% so far.
Please refer to below index weekly performance table.
STI break new low. The selling is fierce. Not time to bottom fishing yet.
DJI and SPX are around their major support level. let's see whether it can be hold in coming week.




Saturday, January 9, 2016

Weekly Wrap

It's a week of bloodbath. Global markets in turmoil much affected by a single market China.

STI at its five year low now. On weekly basis, indices lost from 4.6% to 10%. Shanghai was hit the most with 10% loss. STI lost 4.6%, breakdown support and hit new low.

Time for great sales shopping? I guess the selling not yet end.





Saturday, January 2, 2016

Weekly/Year End Wrap

Dear readers of this blog, Happy New Year! Wish you and loved ones a health and wealth new year 2016.

Indices performance in last week of 2015 as in below table.

Guess which one is the best also the worst index in below table? STI and SSE.

STI gained 0.2% in last week of 2015-the best performer in last week but it is indeed the worst performer for year 2015--lost 14.3%, closed at 2882.73.

Shanghai(SSE) lost the most in last week 2015 with 2.4% but it is indeed the best performer for the year 2015--gained 9.4%, closed at 3539.18.

US markets, Nasdaq gained 5.7% in 2015, whereas Dow and SPX lost 2.2% and 0.7% respectively.

 Indices performance rank for 2015.
STI closed a goji on its weekly candle. Very quiet, chart looks weak, index trading at "bottom", but no sign of bullish momentum yet.
DJI and SPX weekly charts look bearish-- potential more downside in coming week.


 HSI looks weak too on its weekly chart. At bottom but no signs of bullish reversal yet. STI looks following HSI quite closely nowadays.
Shanghai SSE index has been trading in range of 3680-3400 for eight weeks already. A break above 3680 could signal a fresh move to further upside.


Saturday, December 26, 2015

Weekly Wrap

Stock markets had a shortened trading days this week in below table, except for Shanghai which traded as per normal.

Coming week is final one for the year 2015. It's very important especially for SPX and DJI, as how they close in coming week will determine whether their whole year performance are positive or negative. SPX and DJI closed 0.1% and -1.5% respectively this week.

Top two YTD performance are SSE and Nasdaq which gained 12.2% and 6.6% respectively. Whereas STI and HSI lost 14.5% and 6.2% respectively, being the worst two indices. So far.


SPX and DJI rebounded back into their trading range after broke down their weekly support previously. It's expected the indices will continue trading within their weekly trading range in coming week.


Shanghai index facing weekly resistance at 2680 level, more upside is expected if it can close above this level.

HSI and STI not showing bullishness sign, rather relatively quiet at previous low trading range.


Saturday, December 19, 2015

Weekly Wrap

It's a roller-coaster week, market very volatile as market had experienced Fed's first rate hike in nearly 10 years.

For the week, Shanghai gained the most for 4.2%, year-to-date gain is 10.6%, so far the best performer on my watch list.

STI gained 0.6% this week, year-to-date is 15.2% down, so far the worst performer. Please refer to below table for major indexes weekly and YTD performance.

The Dow was up in first three days this week, gone up more than 500 points only gave back all and more in next two days, ended down 136.66 points for the whole week. The chart looks quite ugly now(chart below). I managed short it and will be most likely stay in short US, for the time being.

SPX did almost as I expected in my previous post, it initially hit almost exactly 50% fibo level ( fib at 1992, it hit low of 1993) and rebounded, gone up 80points by Wednesday then was sell-off hard in next day, gave back all its gain as well but managed stayed above the major support level at 50% fib.(refer to chart below). Plenty of room to downside IF it break below this level in coming week.

STI has been trading on a "nice" descending trend so far. Immediate support is 2800, which it hit and rebounded from it this week.
 


Shanghai and nasdaq are the only two indexes managed to outperform this year, had positive close YTD so far.

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Weekly Wrap

US markets sold off hard last night, Dow lost 309 points. Whole market sentiment are very bearish. Overall for the week, DJI-3.3%, SPX-3.8% and Nasdaq -4.1%.

In Asia, STI-1.5%, Shanghai-2.6% and HSI-3.5% for the week. Year-to-date performance, STI lost the most with 15.8% down this year, whereas HSI-9.1%.

Only two indexes managed to stay in green for this year: Shanghai +6.2% and Nasdaq +4.2%.



STI break low this week and continue declined. It looks to me no major support until 2800 in coming week.

Hang Seng weekly candle looks very bearish, 20500 next support area.



DJI hit its 5-week support at 17241 level, more downside is it break below this level in coming week.
As comparison, SPX already break below its 5-week support 2018, next major level to look at is its 50% fibo level at 1992.

Saturday, December 5, 2015

Weekly Wrap

US market rebounded strongly on Friday. Fully recovered heavy sell-off on Thursday, left a long-tailed weekly doji for the three major US indexes, near major resistance level.

For the week, Shanghai gained 2.6% on top of the list. Following by HSI and STI.

Hangseng and STI still in red on YTD performance. STI has been the worst performer with 14.4% loss for this year so far.

Monthly Performance for Nov: