Weekly market analysis covering Singapore, US, Hong Kong and China — stocks, REITs, ETFs and trading perspectives.

Saturday, November 7, 2026

Relief Then Rout: AI Trade Cracks After Midterms

For the week of Nov 6, it was AI and tech again, the fourth week running that one theme has dominated the headlines. Markets whipsawed on the U.S. midterm result: Wall Street rallied on the Democratic sweep, then suffered its sharpest one-day sell-off in years on Thursday as chip stocks fell on data-center regulation and capex worries, even as a strong jobs report showed a resilient economy. China and Hong Kong bounced back on fresh PBoC support for stock purchases and buybacks. Singapore slipped as bank results and Friday’s global tech sell-off weighed.

(Refer to the major indices' weekly performance tables below.)

 

Major Indices — Weekly Performance
Week 45, 06 Nov 2026
SymbolIndex NameClose (Wk)ChangeChg %YTD %
$HSIHang Seng24,481.86+1,187.44+5.10%-4.48%
$CSI300CSI 3004,054.28+68.78+1.73%-12.43%
$SSEShanghai3,649.18+50.16+1.39%-8.05%
$KLCIKLCI1,616.58+0.98+0.06%-3.78%
$DJIDow Jones51,285.73-484.58-0.94%+6.70%
$RUTRussell 20002,754.11-57.74-2.05%+10.97%
$SPXS&P 5007,376.86-203.22-2.68%+7.76%
$STIStraits Times5,179.17-197.58-3.67%+11.47%
$NDXNasdaq 10026,989.99-1,394.85-4.91%+6.89%
$N225Nikkei 22557,434.77-5,855.34-9.25%+14.09%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQWeek 45

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States

 

Market Overview

U.S. equities ended a volatile week lower as Democrats' midterm sweep sparked a relief rally that gave way to a sharp AI-led sell-off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell 0.94%, the S&P 500 (SPX) lost 2.68% and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) dropped 4.91%. The Dow held up best, while technology and semiconductors bore the brunt. 

Index Weekly Performance

- Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): -0.94%

- S&P 500 (SPX): -2.68%

- Nasdaq 100 (NDX): -4.91%

 

Key Highlights and Outlook

1️⃣ Democratic Sweep: Relief Rally Reverses Fast

Democrats won both chambers of Congress, and the president accepted the result and signalled openness to working with them. Stocks rallied on Wednesday as political uncertainty cleared and hopes rose for progress toward an Iran resolution. The gains unravelled as investors turned to what the result meant for AI. 

2️⃣ Thursday's Rout Erases Midweek Gains

On Thursday the Nasdaq 100 fell 6.4% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index more than 12%, both their worst sessions since March 2020. The S&P 500 lost 4.4%, its steepest drop since April 2025, with all 11 sectors lower. Defensives such as consumer staples and health care held up relatively well. Stocks recovered part of the loss on Friday. 

3️⃣ AI Buildout Debate Shifts to Economics

Nvidia fell 9%, Broadcom 10.4%, Micron 17.5% and AMD 17.3% on Thursday. Concerns centred on tighter data-center permitting, zoning and power reviews, notably in Texas, Ohio and Georgia, plus disappointing chip-company outlooks. The debate is moving from AI adoption to AI economics, and slower capex growth could favour hyperscalers over infrastructure suppliers. 

4️⃣ Strong Jobs Data Shows Resilient Economy

Payrolls rose 165,000 in October against a consensus of about 70,000, and August and September were revised up by a combined 84,000. Unemployment edged down to 4.1% and initial claims fell to 189,000. ISM Manufacturing rose to 55.5, a tenth straight month of expansion, while ISM Services eased to 54.5. 

5️⃣ Treasury Yields Fall on Haven Demand

Treasury yields fell across the curve, with short- and intermediate-term yields dropping more than long-term yields and steepening the curve. A Democratic Congress was read as reducing the risk of large deficit-financed spending, and the tech sell-off added haven demand. Strong private payrolls and hawkish Fed commentary tempered the rally late in the week. 

6️⃣ Oil Whipsaws as Fed Leaves Hike Open

Crude fell more than 8% the day after the election on hopes of an Iran resolution, then WTI climbed back above $91 by Friday. The Fed had held rates at 3.75%–4.00% with two dissenters favouring a hike, and gave little guidance on December, leaving rate risk open.

 

S&P 500 Sectors in Focus

Communication Services led the week, followed by Real Estate and Consumer Discretionary, with Financials and Consumer Staples also finishing higher. Energy was the weakest sector as crude fell sharply after the election, followed by Technology, which bore the brunt of Thursday's chip-led rout. Industrials and Materials also declined, while Health Care and Utilities were roughly flat to slightly lower. (Refer to the SPX sector ETF weekly performance table below.)

S&P 500 Sector ETFs — Weekly Performance
Week 45, 06 Nov 2026
SymbolSectorClose (Wk)ChangeChg %YTD %
SPY ★S&P 500 ETF735.29-20.43-2.70%+7.83%
XLCComm. Services104.79+4.89+4.89%-10.98%
XLREReal Estate44.00+0.83+1.92%+9.05%
XLYConsumer Discret.117.58+2.20+1.91%-1.53%
XLFFinancials57.16+0.65+1.15%+4.36%
XLPConsumer Staples90.08+0.66+0.74%+15.96%
XLVHealth Care184.80-0.07-0.04%+19.38%
XLUUtilities43.13-0.30-0.69%+1.03%
XLBMaterials51.95-0.79-1.50%+14.55%
XLIIndustrials162.67-4.73-2.83%+4.87%
XLKTechnology164.74-14.77-8.23%+14.43%
XLEEnergy61.62-8.40-12.00%+37.82%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQWeek 45

 

Technical Snapshot

SPX closed at 7,376.86, NDX at 26,989.99 and DJI at 51,285.73, all still positive year to date at +7.76%, +6.89% and +6.70%. Near term, direction hinges on whether AI-related selling stabilises and on Tuesday’s CPI, with the SPX 200-day moving average near 7,325 the next major support to watch. On the weekly charts, SPX has now fallen four weeks in a row and sits near its four-month low with its uptrend still intact, while NDX is the weakest of the three, closing below its July low and its 200-day moving average.

 

πŸ“Š Weekly charts:

- DJI weekly chart

- SPX weekly chart

- Nasdaq 100 weekly chart

 

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China / Hong Kong

 

Market Overview

Chinese equities rebounded, recovering part of October's losses on fresh PBoC support, with the CSI 300 up 1.73%, the Shanghai Composite (SSE) up 1.39% and the Hang Seng Index (HSI) up 5.10%. Semiconductor and AI shares drove a midweek mainland recovery and Hong Kong internet stocks rallied on Thursday, but momentum faded on Friday after the U.S. tech sell-off. (Refer to the major indices' weekly performance tables above.)

 

Index Weekly Performance

- CSI 300: +1.73%

- Shanghai Composite (SSE): +1.39%

- Hang Seng Index (HSI): +5.10%

 

Key Highlights and Outlook

1️⃣ PBoC Steps Up Equity Market Support

The PBoC ran a RMB100 billion operation under its securities, funds and insurance swap facility on Tuesday, with 31 firms taking part. On Wednesday it cut the relending rate for share buybacks and shareholding increases by 25 basis points to 1.0%, and banks applied for more than RMB200 billion in quotas. 

2️⃣ Tech and Internet Names Drive Rebound

Hong Kong internet stocks rallied on Thursday as investors returned to names heavily sold in October. Friday's U.S. tech slide then hit semiconductor and optical-communications stocks, though Chinese equities held their weekly gains. 

3️⃣ October PMIs Show Uneven Activity

The official manufacturing PMI fell to 49.3 from 50.1 and the non-manufacturing PMI to 49.7 from 50.2, both into contraction. Private RatingDog surveys stayed in expansion at a slower pace, with manufacturing at 52.0 from 52.1 and services at 50.8 from 51.6. 

4️⃣ PBoC Adjusts Rate Framework and FX Rules

From Monday the PBoC began daily overnight reverse repos at a fixed 1.25%, making the overnight rate its main policy anchor. It will also raise the foreign-currency deposit reserve requirement ratio from 4% to 6% from November 15 to moderate the yuan's recent appreciation. 

5️⃣ Maybank Securities Favours Financials

With 88% of MSCI China companies reporting, 3Q26 earnings fell 14.8% YoY, with consumer sectors weak. Maybank Securities favours financials, preferring insurers China Life and AIA and broker CICC, and sees JD.com's Singles' Day sales as a near-term catalyst.

 

Technical Snapshot

HSI closed at 24,481.86 and SSE at 3,649.18, both still negative year to date at -4.48% and -8.05%. SSE recorded its first weekly gain after six straight weekly declines, while HSI’s rebound recovered part of October’s 5.4% drop but remains a rebound within a broader corrective phase. Follow-through depends on continued policy support, corporate fundamentals and investor confidence.

 

Hang Seng Index Weekly Gainers

83 of 95 HSI constituents gained. Sino Biopharm (+16.18%), Hua Hong Semiconductor (+15.65%), Xiaomi (+14.73%), Xinyi Solar (+14.52%) and JD Health (+13.54%) led, while internet heavyweights Meituan (+12.29%), Tencent (+9.44%) and Alibaba (+8.09%) also rallied. Southbound data from Maybank Securities showed net selling of Xiaomi, SMIC and Alibaba (HKD3.13 billion, HKD2.14 billion and HKD1.98 billion) even as the stocks rose, while the Tracker Fund of Hong Kong drew the largest net buying at HKD14.91 billion.

(Refer to the Hang Seng Index constituents' weekly performance table below.)

HSI Constituents — Weekly Gainers
Week 45, 06 Nov 2026
CodeCompanyClose (Wk)Wk %YTD %
HSI ★HSI ★24,481.86+5.10%-4.48%
1177Sino Biopharm5.60+16.18%-9.39%
1347Hua Hong Semi70.20+15.65%-5.52%
1810XiaomiHXXD30.38+14.73%-22.70%
968Xinyi Solar2.13+14.52%-28.28%
6618JD Health43.26+13.54%-22.05%
9999NetEase200.40+13.41%-6.62%
9961Trip.comHTGD350.40+13.11%-36.75%
9618JD.comHJDD113.30+12.85%+1.52%
2331Li Ning15.48+12.58%-17.09%
3690MeituanHMTD80.40+12.29%-22.17%
3750CATLHCCD380.00+12.16%-24.83%
6181Laopu GoldHLPD303.60+10.80%-50.87%
9901New Oriental42.46+10.75%+0.52%
2015Li Auto47.44+10.69%-26.85%
6160BeOne Medicines244.20+10.30%+36.20%
2313Shenzhou Intl42.12+9.97%-31.18%
241AliHealth3.10+9.73%-38.61%
700TencentHTCD419.80+9.44%-29.92%
1024KuaishouHKUD28.92+9.05%-54.78%
2618JD Logistics10.76+8.80%-5.78%
27Galaxy Ent.34.84+8.67%-9.08%
1211BYDHYDD74.15+8.64%-22.23%
1929Chow Tai Fook11.95+8.54%-3.55%
1801Innovent Bio86.35+8.28%+13.25%
1876Budweiser APAC6.38+8.23%-16.01%
6862Haidilao10.19+8.12%-28.49%
9988AlibabaHBBD104.90+8.09%-26.54%
16Sun Hung Kai117.70+8.08%+24.29%
1519J&T Global Express9.71+8.07%-7.08%
2319China Mengniu Dairy21.40+7.75%+43.53%
3692Hansoh34.80+7.54%-3.55%
1093CSPC Pharma8.45+7.44%+0.24%
2020ANTA Sports79.65+7.13%-1.12%
2269WuXi Bio47.62+7.06%+51.46%
101Hang Lung Prop.6.62+7.03%-23.05%
669Techtronic142.60+6.98%+58.62%
2318Ping AnHPAD53.15+6.86%-18.42%
9633Nongfu Spring45.22+6.80%-3.46%
6690Haier21.24+6.47%-12.52%
1113CK Asset49.12+6.41%+24.92%
981SMICHSMD45.58+6.05%-36.21%
1CK Hutchison70.20+6.04%+32.58%
1099Sinopharm17.16+5.99%-11.73%
12Henderson Land29.70+5.92%+5.54%
291CR Beer20.92+5.82%-20.21%
322Tingyi13.34+5.45%+13.15%
2628China Life25.18+5.44%-8.04%
1044Hengan22.18+5.22%-20.50%
175GeelyHGMD14.56+5.20%-18.66%
9992Pop MartHPPD141.90+5.19%-24.40%
1109CR Land32.02+5.12%+17.72%
388HKEX385.60+4.95%-5.40%
762China Unicom5.46+4.80%-29.82%
267CITIC12.87+4.63%+6.72%
2CLP Holdings80.95+4.59%+16.31%
2359WuXi AppTec193.60+4.42%+96.15%
1209CR Mixc41.64+4.41%-3.03%
1997Wharf REIC32.54+4.36%+32.38%
868Xinyi Glass8.43+4.08%+1.87%
2057ZTO Express163.60+4.07%+0.80%
1299AIA Group78.45+4.05%-1.81%
688COLI13.18+3.86%+7.59%
2899Zijin Mining28.90+3.73%-18.96%
300Midea100.10+3.57%+17.83%
288WH Group6.59+3.53%-23.99%
9888BaiduHBUD78.20+3.30%-40.53%
1928Sands China11.03+3.28%-43.72%
66MTR Corp34.30+2.94%+15.10%
823Link REIT40.98+2.91%+17.96%
2600Aluminum Corp China7.32+2.74%-39.89%
939CCB10.53+2.63%+36.93%
836CR Power20.40+2.41%+17.85%
6Power Assets65.40+2.35%+18.59%
728China Telecom4.58+1.78%-14.94%
3HK & China Gas7.39+1.72%+5.49%
941China MobileHCMD81.10+1.37%-0.73%
5HSBCHSHD137.50+1.33%+12.34%
2382Sunny Optical64.05+1.18%-2.29%
960Longfor4.58+1.10%-46.44%
1378China Hongqiao20.40+0.89%-37.46%
1398ICBC7.95+0.70%+26.39%
1038CK Infra71.00+0.50%+23.26%
1088China Shenhua42.66+0.23%+9.95%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQ  |  Blue code = tradable on SGX as a Singapore Depository ReceiptWeek 45

 

Hang Seng Index Weekly Decliners

12 of 95 HSI constituents declined. Lenovo (-8.24%) was the weakest, followed by Weichai Power (-6.63%), CNOOC (-4.94%), OOIL (-4.16%) and PetroChina (-4.07%), with energy names slipping in a week when crude fell more than 8% after the U.S. election. Bank of China, CM Bank and BOC Hong Kong slipped less than 1%.

(Refer to the Hang Seng Index constituents' weekly performance table below.)

HSI Constituents — Weekly Decliners
Week 45, 06 Nov 2026
CodeCompanyClose (Wk)Wk %YTD %
HSI ★HSI ★24,481.86+5.10%-4.48%
2688ENN Energy48.72-0.08%-29.60%
3988Bank of ChinaHBND6.12-0.41%+37.22%
3968CM Bank54.15-0.73%+2.56%
2388BOC Hong Kong50.00-0.99%+26.84%
386Sinopec4.80-1.23%+2.89%
285BYD Electronic21.40-1.83%-36.39%
3993CMOC Group12.05-2.19%-37.37%
857PetroChinaHPCD10.38-4.07%+23.87%
316OOIL152.20-4.16%+21.37%
883CNOOC23.48-4.94%+10.23%
2338Weichai Power21.96-6.63%+16.50%
992Lenovo18.81-8.24%+103.13%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQ  |  Blue code = tradable on SGX as a Singapore Depository ReceiptWeek 45

 

πŸ“Š Weekly charts:

- SSE weekly chart

- HSI weekly chart

 

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¬ Singapore

 

Market Overview

The Straits Times Index (STI) fell 3.67% as post-results selling in the banks and Friday's global tech sell-off outweighed gains in defensives. UOB (-10.85%), OCBC (-5.33%) and DBS (-4.66%) all declined, with ST Engineering and Keppel also lower. S-REITs, DFI Retail, Jardine Matheson and SIA were among the gainers. 

Index Weekly Performance

- Straits Times Index (STI): -3.67%

 

Key Highlights and Outlook

1️⃣ Global Tech Rout Drags STI Lower

The STI closed at 5,179.17, still +11.47% year to date. Most of the week's loss came on Friday after Thursday's U.S. rout. Venture fell 5.18%, ST Engineering 8.77% and Keppel 6.34%. 

2️⃣ S-REITs and Defensives Hold Up

All eight S-REIT constituents in the index rose, from +0.58% to +3.35%. Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust reported FY26 2H DPU of 2.95 cents, unchanged YoY, with rental reversion of +10.4%. 

3️⃣ Maybank Securities Stays Overweight Singapore

Maybank Securities noted the STI had retreated about 9% from its September record, mainly on bank selling amid rising bond yields and funding costs. It raised its 2026 GDP growth forecast to 5.6% with CPI near 2%, and likes OCBC, SGX and AI-linked tech manufacturers. 

4️⃣ Rates Rise and AI Doubts Weigh on Tech

Three-month compounded SORA rose to 1.32% from 1.23% at end-September. Brokers flagged downside risk to Singapore semiconductor earnings as Democratic gains raised doubts over data-center approvals, with Venture and Frencken seen as more resilient than higher-AI-exposure names such as UMS. 

5️⃣ Banks: NII Steady, Trading Weak

3Q26 net profit was S$2.81 billion at DBS (-5% YoY, missed), S$2.04 billion at OCBC (+3%, in line) and S$1.25 billion at UOB (rebound off a low base, missed). NIM was 1.87% at DBS, 1.66% at OCBC and 1.68% at UOB. FY26e dividend yields are 4.6% at DBS and 4.2% at UOB, and about 4% at OCBC including specials.

 

Technical Snapshot

The STI closed at 5,179.17, giving back much of the recent advance but still up 11.47% year to date. Technically, it is sitting inside its 5,150–5,250 support area after closing below its 200-day moving average near 5,250 this week, and has fallen into correction territory, down more than 10% from its peak. Near-term direction depends on global tech sentiment and how banks trade after results. (Refer to the STI weekly performance table below.)

STI Constituents — Weekly Performance
Week 45, 06 Nov 2026
CodeCompanyClose (Wk)Wk %YTD %
STI ★STI ★5,179.17-3.67%+11.47%
D01DFI Retail USD3.73+6.88%-5.57%
J36JMH USD60.84+5.50%-11.04%
C6LSIA6.95+3.89%+8.59%
BUOUFrasers L&C Tr0.93+3.35%-7.04%
AJBUKeppel DC REIT2.17+2.84%-3.56%
C38UCapLand IntCom Tr2.34+2.63%-2.09%
N2IUMapletree PACT1.18+2.61%-19.73%
Y92ThaiBev0.43+2.35%-5.43%
A17UCapAscendas REIT2.26+2.26%-20.14%
S58SATS3.73+1.91%-2.10%
J69UFrasers CT2.14+1.90%-8.15%
G13Genting Sing0.61+1.67%-15.86%
S68SGX20.49+1.39%+20.81%
M44UMapletree Log Tr1.11+0.91%-15.91%
ME8UMapletree Ind Tr1.74+0.58%-16.35%
H78HK Land USD8.28-0.24%+19.14%
U14UOL7.88-0.25%-9.84%
Z74Singtel4.09-0.97%-10.11%
F34Wilmar2.97-1.33%-3.57%
C09CityDev7.22-1.63%-9.75%
5E2Seatrium1.80-1.64%-16.67%
9CICapLand Invest2.36-1.67%-12.92%
U96Sembcorp Ind5.68-2.91%-5.65%
BS6YZJ Ship SGD4.35-4.40%+25.00%
D05DBS69.72-4.66%+23.70%
V03Venture14.29-5.18%-5.61%
O39OCBC27.73-5.33%+40.33%
BN4Keppel9.45-6.34%-8.70%
S63ST Engineering9.26-8.77%+9.98%
U11UOB36.88-10.85%+5.19%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQWeek 45


πŸ“Š Weekly charts:

- STI weekly chart

 

πŸ“… Week Ahead (9–13 Nov 2026)

U.S. October CPI is due Tuesday, 10 Nov, with consensus at +0.3% MoM (3.7% YoY) and core at +0.2% (2.6% YoY). Wednesday is Veterans Day, when banks are closed but the stock market stays open. Thursday brings initial jobless claims (consensus 193,000) and existing home sales, and October PPI follows on Friday. Watch how Treasury yields react to CPI.

China releases October CPI and PPI on Monday, 9 Nov. Singles' Day falls on Wednesday, 11 Nov, with Maybank Securities flagging JD.com as a potential beneficiary. The PBoC's higher foreign-currency reserve requirement takes effect on 15 Nov.

Singapore markets are closed on Monday, 9 Nov for the Deepavali in-lieu public holiday, leaving a four-day trading week. Singapore Airlines reports second-quarter and half-year results on Wednesday, 11 Nov, with analysts watching jet fuel costs. Regionally, Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 9.25% this week and entered a bear market, so Asian technology sentiment remains in focus.

 

πŸ—“️ Overarching Watchpoint

Whether the AI-led sell-off stabilises or extends. Tuesday's CPI is the first hard catalyst: a hot print would revive December rate-hike risk, with two Fed dissenters already favouring a hike, just as investors question AI capex returns and data-center regulation.

 

Source: Some content and data are excerpted from publicly available market reports.

Unfamiliar with a term? See the Glossary.

Saturday, October 31, 2026

AI Cash-Flow Test: Fed Holds, Rotation Broadens

For the week of Oct 30, investors scrutinised AI spending as disappointing hyperscaler results triggered a late-week tech reversal, even as the Fed held rates and market breadth improved. U.S. equities ended mixed as small caps and defensives offset a sharp slide in large-cap technology after Alphabet(GOOG) and Amazon(AMZN) missed expectations. China and Hong Kong diverged as a mainland tech sell-off and a plenum without new stimulus contrasted with a Friday Hong Kong rebound. Singapore slipped as a steep Wilmar decline and softer banks outweighed gains in selected industrials.

(Refer to the major indices' weekly performance tables below.)

Major Indices — Weekly Performance
Week 44, 31 Oct 2026
SymbolIndex NameClose (Wk)ChangeChg %YTD %
$RUTRussell 20002,811.84+35.95+1.29%+13.29%
$N225Nikkei 22563,290.11+596.95+0.95%+25.73%
$HSIHang Seng23,294.42+201.05+0.87%-9.11%
$KLCIKLCI1,615.60+4.04+0.25%-3.84%
$SPXS&P 5007,580.07-43.61-0.57%+10.73%
$STIStraits Times5,376.74-45.42-0.84%+15.72%
$DJIDow Jones51,770.31-444.85-0.85%+7.71%
$NDXNasdaq 10028,384.85-572.68-1.98%+12.42%
$SSEShanghai3,599.02-91.46-2.48%-9.32%
$CSI300CSI 3003,985.50-119.83-2.92%-13.92%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQWeek 44

 

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ United States

Market Overview

U.S. stocks closed mixed as AI-related large caps reversed early-week gains late in the week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) lost 0.85%, the S&P 500 (SPX) fell 0.57% and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) slid 1.98%, while the Russell 2000 (RUT) gained 1.29%. Large-cap value outperformed growth for a fourth consecutive week.

Index Weekly Performance

-          Dow Jones (DJI): -0.85%

-          S&P 500 (SPX): -0.57%

-          Nasdaq 100 (NDX): -1.98%

Monthly Performance

October split the market: the Dow Jones (DJI) gained 1.70%, while the S&P 500 (SPX) fell 0.93% and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) dropped 6.65%, with the Russell 2000 (RUT) up 0.54%. The three large-cap indices stand at +7.71%, +10.73% and +12.42% year to date. (Refer to the major indices’ monthly performance table below.)

Major Indices — Monthly Performance
Month-end Oct 2026
SymbolIndex NameClose (Mo)ChangeChg %YTD %
$DJIDow Jones51,770.31+864.26+1.70%+7.71%
$RUTRussell 20002,811.84+14.98+0.54%+13.29%
$SPXS&P 5007,580.07-71.46-0.93%+10.73%
$KLCIKLCI1,615.60-35.57-2.15%-3.84%
$N225Nikkei 22563,290.11-3,463.61-5.19%+25.73%
$STIStraits Times5,376.74-299.14-5.27%+15.72%
$HSIHang Seng23,294.42-1,318.85-5.36%-9.11%
$SSEShanghai3,599.02-243.18-6.33%-9.32%
$NDXNasdaq 10028,384.85-2,023.66-6.65%+12.42%
$CSI300CSI 3003,985.50-372.11-8.54%-13.92%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQOct 2026

Key Highlights and Outlook

1️⃣ AI Spending Faces a Cash-Flow Test

Microsoft beat revenue and earnings estimates, but Alphabet and Amazon posted double-digit revenue growth and still missed expectations, reigniting doubts over returns on heavy AI capex. Investors are now judging spending on near-term revenue, earnings and cash flow, a repricing of AI rather than a rejection of it.

2️⃣ Fed Holds at 3.75%-4.00%, Two Dissent

The Fed held rates after September’s 25 bp hike, with 10 of 12 voters in favour and two preferring another quarter-point increase. The statement described growth as strong rather than solid, and Chair Warsh offered little guidance on December. Two further 25 bp hikes are anticipated, which would effectively reverse the 2025 cuts.

3️⃣ GDP Accelerates to a 3.4% Pace

Advance third-quarter GDP grew at a 3.4% annualised rate, above the roughly 3.0% expected and up from 2.2% in the second quarter, led by business investment and consumer spending. Consumer confidence rose to 91.7 from 84.2, and jobless claims fell to 194,000, the lowest since July, giving the Fed room to focus on inflation.

4️⃣ Inflation Stays Sticky: PCE at 3.6%

September headline PCE rose 0.5% on the month and 3.6% year on year, with energy up 21.3%. Core PCE rose 0.3% and 3.1%, both accelerating modestly from August and well above the 2% target. The five-year TIPS breakeven has also moved higher, suggesting markets see a risk that inflation stays above target for longer.

5️⃣ Rotation Broadens Beyond Mega-Cap Tech

Value and small caps led, and defensive sectors such as consumer staples, health care and utilities offset AI-related weakness as market breadth improved. With valuation multiples contracting as yields rise, earnings growth is now the key driver, and a sustained double-digit pace would support further gains.

6️⃣ Yields Ease; Oil and Midterms Add Risk

The 10-year Treasury yield fell to about 4.92% from roughly 5% a week earlier, turning sharply lower after the Fed and the late-week tech sell-off. Year-to-date investment-grade issuance hit a record on AI-related financing. Oil stayed volatile as U.S.-Iran diplomacy competed with escalation risks, with military activity possibly intensifying after the 3 November midterms.


S&P 500 Sectors in Focus

Nine of the 11 S&P 500 sectors advanced even as the index fell, a clear sign of broadening leadership. Health Care, Materials and Utilities led, while Consumer Staples and Industrials also finished higher. Communication Services and Technology were the weakest sectors, weighed by the AI-spending reassessment and Alphabet’s sharp post-earnings drop. (Refer to the SPX sector ETF weekly performance table below.)

S&P 500 Sector ETFs — Weekly Performance
Week 44, 31 Oct 2026
SymbolSectorClose (Wk)ChangeChg %YTD %
SPY ★S&P 500 ETF755.72-4.25-0.56%+10.82%
XLVHealth Care184.87+5.59+3.12%+19.43%
XLBMaterials52.74+1.43+2.79%+16.30%
XLUUtilities43.43+0.87+2.04%+1.73%
XLYConsumer Discret.115.38+2.28+2.02%-3.37%
XLIIndustrials167.40+2.78+1.69%+7.92%
XLREReal Estate43.17+0.60+1.41%+6.99%
XLPConsumer Staples89.42+1.16+1.31%+15.11%
XLFFinancials56.51+0.61+1.09%+3.18%
XLEEnergy70.02+0.69+1.00%+56.61%
XLKTechnology179.51-3.72-2.03%+24.69%
XLCComm. Services99.90-5.61-5.32%-15.14%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQWeek 44


Technical Snapshot

The SPX closed at 7,580.07, up 10.73% year to date, its third straight weekly loss after last week’s 0.47% decline, while the DJI at 51,770.31 gave back the last two weeks’ gains. The NDX, at 28,384.85, was the weakest of the three with a third consecutive weekly loss after last week’s 0.79% decline. The three indices remain in a sideways consolidation, and the outlook hinges on whether further AI earnings and the 6 November jobs report hold that range.

πŸ“Š Weekly charts:

-          DJI weekly chart

-          SPX weekly chart

-          Nasdaq 100 weekly chart

 

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China / Hong Kong

Market Overview

Chinese equities ended mixed as a deepening mainland tech sell-off contrasted with a Friday rebound in Hong Kong. The CSI 300 fell 2.92% and the Shanghai Composite (SSE) fell 2.48%, while the Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose 0.87%. Semiconductor and AI-related shares led the losses on valuation and AI-return concerns, and the HSI gained 1.46% on Friday. (Refer to the major indices’ weekly performance tables above.)

Index Weekly Performance

-          CSI 300: -2.92%

-          Shanghai Composite (SSE): -2.48%

-          Hang Seng Index (HSI): +0.87%


Key Highlights and Outlook

1️⃣ Fifth Plenum Stresses Discipline, No Stimulus

The Party’s Fifth Plenum concluded Thursday with a resolution on governance and anti-corruption, confirming the expulsion of 33 officials including former securities regulator head Yi Huiman. The communiquΓ© reaffirmed efforts to expand domestic demand and promote innovation-led growth under the 15th Five-Year Plan, but announced no new stimulus measures.

2️⃣ Mainland Tech Sell-Off Deepens

Semiconductor and AI-related shares stayed under pressure, and losses intensified Friday after renewed U.S. tech weakness. Maybank Securities noted that state-backed investors reportedly bought up to RMB 170 bn of stocks and ETFs in October to cushion declines. Hong Kong rebounded Friday on consumer, financial, energy, property and selected internet names.

3️⃣ Soft 3Q Earnings Favour Defensives

Maybank Securities said China’s 3Q earnings season has started softly, with weak consumption and price competition weighing on profits, and it continues to favour defensive, dividend-yielding stocks. It cited China Telecom and China Tower for attractive yields and resilient cash flows. HSBC fell 4.77% after missing earnings expectations.

4️⃣ PBoC Adds a Bond-Market Backstop

The PBoC announced a swap facility to help eligible institutions manage large redemptions during systemic bond-market stress, to limit forced selling. Separately, the three policy banks completed RMB 800 bn of 2026 financial-instrument issuance, up from RMB 500 bn in 2025, to fund infrastructure, AI and other priority projects.

5️⃣ Profits and Exports Accelerate

Industrial profits rose 14.4% year on year in September from 4.2% in August, but disparities persisted, with electronics profits up 103.8% in the first nine months and automobile profits down 22.8%. Maybank Securities noted that Hong Kong’s September exports rose 64.9% year on year on AI demand, the fastest growth in over 40 years.


Technical Snapshot

The HSI closed at 23,294.42, rebounding 0.87% after last week’s 4.52% drop, but it remains down 9.11% year to date. The SSE fell to 3,599.02, its sixth straight weekly decline after last week’s 0.69% loss, and is down 9.32% year to date. The HSI is attempting a rebound while the SSE remains under pressure, so the outlook depends on mainland tech stabilising.

Hang Seng Index Weekly Gainers

Fifty-seven of the 95 index constituents gained for the week. Energy and banks led, with PetroChina up 12.65%, Sinopec 9.08% and ICBC 9.05%, while Li Ning (+7.51%) and China Shenhua (+7.42%) also posted strong gains.

(Refer to the Hang Seng Index constituents’ weekly performance table below.)

HSI Constituents — Weekly Gainers
Week 44, 31 Oct 2026
CodeCompanyClose (Wk)Wk %YTD %
HSI ★HSI ★23,294.42+0.87%-9.11%
857PetroChinaHPCD10.82+12.65%+29.12%
386Sinopec4.87+9.08%+4.18%
1398ICBC7.89+9.05%+25.52%
2331Li Ning13.75+7.51%-26.35%
1088China Shenhua42.56+7.42%+9.69%
836CR Power19.92+7.27%+15.08%
1044Hengan21.08+7.01%-24.44%
883CNOOC24.70+6.83%+15.96%
2319China Mengniu Dairy19.86+6.60%+33.20%
1378China Hongqiao20.22+6.31%-38.01%
1299AIA Group75.40+6.12%-5.63%
3968CM Bank54.55+6.03%+3.31%
316OOIL158.80+5.66%+26.63%
1099Sinopharm16.19+5.54%-16.72%
6Power Assets63.90+5.53%+15.87%
939CCB10.26+5.07%+33.42%
1038CK Infra70.65+4.98%+22.66%
823Link REIT39.82+4.73%+14.62%
1113CK Asset46.16+4.62%+17.40%
728China Telecom4.50+4.40%-16.42%
868Xinyi Glass8.10+3.85%-2.12%
941China MobileHCMD80.00+3.76%-2.08%
2313Shenzhou Intl38.30+3.40%-37.42%
2388BOC Hong Kong50.50+3.31%+28.11%
1109CR Land30.46+3.25%+11.99%
669Techtronic133.30+3.25%+48.28%
16Sun Hung Kai108.90+3.22%+14.99%
3988Bank of ChinaHBND6.14+3.19%+37.78%
267CITIC12.30+3.19%+1.99%
1CK Hutchison66.20+2.87%+25.02%
66MTR Corp33.32+2.84%+11.81%
1997Wharf REIC31.18+2.84%+26.85%
6690Haier19.95+2.78%-17.83%
1209CR Mixc39.88+2.62%-7.13%
12Henderson Land28.04+2.56%-0.36%
968Xinyi Solar1.86+2.48%-37.37%
9992Pop MartHPPD134.90+2.43%-28.13%
322Tingyi12.65+2.43%+7.29%
300Midea96.65+2.17%+13.77%
6862Haidilao9.43+2.11%-33.86%
291CR Beer19.77+2.07%-24.60%
9633Nongfu Spring42.34+1.97%-9.61%
688COLI12.69+1.85%+3.59%
2CLP Holdings77.40+1.78%+11.21%
2318Ping AnHPAD49.74+1.47%-23.65%
3HK & China Gas7.27+1.47%+3.71%
2688ENN Energy48.76+1.46%-29.54%
27Galaxy Ent.32.06+1.46%-16.34%
2628China Life23.88+1.44%-12.78%
6618JD Health38.10+1.33%-31.35%
1929Chow Tai Fook11.01+0.92%-11.14%
1519J&T Global Express8.98+0.67%-14.02%
9618JD.comHJDD100.40+0.40%-10.04%
288WH Group6.37+0.39%-26.59%
2382Sunny Optical63.30+0.24%-3.43%
762China Unicom5.21+0.19%-33.03%
2057ZTO Express157.20+0.13%-3.14%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQ  |  Blue code = tradable on SGX as a Singapore Depository ReceiptWeek 44

Hang Seng Index Weekly Decliners

Thirty-eight of the 95 index constituents declined. New Oriental (-17.41%), Hua Hong Semiconductor (-10.01%), Lenovo (-9.45%), SMIC (-8.67%) and Longfor (-8.11%) fell the most, with the semiconductor names reflecting the sector pressure.

(Refer to the Hang Seng Index constituents’ weekly performance table below.)

HSI Constituents — Weekly Decliners
Week 44, 31 Oct 2026
CodeCompanyClose (Wk)Wk %YTD %
HSI ★HSI ★23,294.42+0.87%-9.11%
2618JD Logistics9.89-0.05%-13.40%
3690MeituanHMTD71.60-0.07%-30.69%
2600Aluminum Corp China7.12-0.28%-41.50%
2359WuXi AppTec185.40-0.32%+87.84%
9888BaiduHBUD75.70-0.33%-42.43%
700TencentHTCD383.60-0.62%-35.96%
9988AlibabaHBBD97.05-0.77%-32.04%
388HKEX367.40-0.92%-9.86%
101Hang Lung Prop.6.19-1.04%-28.11%
1810XiaomiHXXD26.48-1.19%-32.62%
2020ANTA Sports74.35-1.26%-7.70%
241AliHealth2.83-1.40%-44.06%
9961Trip.comHTGD309.80-1.59%-44.08%
3692Hansoh32.36-1.94%-10.31%
1876Budweiser APAC5.89-2.00%-22.40%
1928Sands China10.68-2.73%-45.51%
175GeelyHGMD13.84-2.88%-22.68%
2269WuXi Bio44.48-2.88%+41.48%
285BYD Electronic21.80-2.94%-35.20%
6160BeOne Medicines221.40-3.06%+23.48%
9999NetEase176.70-3.44%-17.66%
1177Sino Biopharm4.82-3.60%-22.01%
6181Laopu GoldHLPD274.00-3.72%-55.66%
1801Innovent Bio79.75-4.15%+4.59%
2338Weichai Power23.52-4.39%+24.77%
1211BYDHYDD68.25-4.68%-28.42%
5HSBCHSHD135.70-4.77%+10.87%
2015Li Auto42.86-4.92%-33.91%
1024KuaishouHKUD26.52-4.95%-58.53%
3750CATLHCCD338.80-5.04%-32.98%
3993CMOC Group12.32-5.30%-35.97%
2899Zijin Mining27.86-5.43%-21.87%
1093CSPC Pharma7.87-5.75%-6.70%
960Longfor4.54-8.11%-47.02%
981SMICHSMD42.98-8.67%-39.85%
992Lenovo20.50-9.45%+121.38%
1347Hua Hong Semi60.70-10.01%-18.30%
9901New Oriental38.34-17.41%-9.23%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQ  |  Blue code = tradable on SGX as a Singapore Depository ReceiptWeek 44

πŸ“Š Weekly charts:

-          SSE weekly chart

-          HSI weekly chart

 

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¬ Singapore

Market Overview

Singapore stocks edged lower, with the Straits Times Index (STI) down 0.84% as 11 constituents rose, one was flat and 18 fell. Wilmar and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding were the largest decliners, while OCBC, Keppel and Seatrium advanced. U.S. yields eased late in the week as the AI-linked tech sell-off lifted Treasuries.

Index Weekly Performance

-          Straits Times Index (STI): -0.84%


Key Highlights and Outlook

1️⃣ Wilmar Slump Weighs on the STI

Wilmar fell 9.88%, the STI’s worst performer, and Yangzijiang Shipbuilding dropped 6.76%. Cost pressures were flagged for Wilmar’s 3Q26, and the company said it will engage an investigations firm and a law firm, as directed by NEA, to inquire into any link to the Indonesian fires behind the transboundary haze.

2️⃣ Banks Diverge Before Results

DBS fell 1.76% and UOB 0.53%, while OCBC rose 1.00%. DBS denied rumours that its Indonesian unit would merge with Bank Central Asia. Maybank Securities expects the banks to report 3Q results from 4-6 Nov.

3️⃣ S-REITs Report Mixed 3Q Updates

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT reported 90.1% occupancy and a +9.9% rental reversion, though leverage rose to 41.8%. Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust’s 2Q DPU fell 3.5% and NetLink NBN Trust’s H1 DPU rose 1.1%. Mapletree Industrial Trust fell 3.89%.

4️⃣ Contract Wins and Ex-Dividend Moves

Seatrium, up 1.10%, secured an FPSO integration contract above S$200 million from SBM Offshore. Sembcorp signed a pact with DayOne to explore powering Asian data centres, but fell 2.66%. SGX, down 2.70%, traded ex-dividend (S$0.24) on 30 Oct.


Technical Snapshot

The STI closed at 5,376.74, down 0.84% after last week’s 0.12% gain, and remains up 15.72% year to date. Breadth was negative, with 18 decliners against 11 gainers, led lower by Wilmar. The STI is consolidating within its year-to-date gains, has been in sideways mode for the past the past three weeks and the outlook turns to the banks’ results from 4 Nov. (Refer to the STI weekly performance table below.)

STI Constituents — Weekly Performance
Week 44, 31 Oct 2026
CodeCompanyClose (Wk)Wk %YTD %
STI ★STI ★5,376.74-0.84%+15.72%
D01DFI Retail USD3.49+4.80%-11.65%
C09CityDev7.34+2.95%-8.25%
S58SATS3.66+1.67%-3.94%
H78HK Land USD8.30+1.22%+19.42%
5E2Seatrium1.83+1.10%-15.28%
O39OCBC29.29+1.00%+48.23%
M44UMapletree Log Tr1.10+0.92%-16.67%
C6LSIA6.69+0.90%+4.53%
BN4Keppel10.09+0.90%-2.51%
G13Genting Sing0.60+0.84%-17.24%
Z74Singtel4.13+0.24%-9.23%
9CICapLand Invest2.40+0.00%-11.44%
U14UOL7.90-0.25%-9.61%
S63ST Engineering10.15-0.49%+20.55%
U11UOB41.37-0.53%+18.00%
C38UCapLand IntCom Tr2.28-0.87%-4.60%
A17UCapAscendas REIT2.21-0.90%-21.91%
AJBUKeppel DC REIT2.11-0.94%-6.22%
BUOUFrasers L&C Tr0.90-1.10%-10.05%
J36JMH USD57.67-1.67%-15.67%
N2IUMapletree PACT1.15-1.71%-21.77%
D05DBS73.13-1.76%+29.76%
V03Venture15.07-2.02%-0.46%
Y92ThaiBev0.42-2.30%-7.61%
U96Sembcorp Ind5.85-2.66%-2.82%
S68SGX20.21-2.70%+19.16%
J69UFrasers CT2.10-3.67%-9.87%
ME8UMapletree Ind Tr1.73-3.89%-16.83%
BS6YZJ Ship SGD4.55-6.76%+30.75%
F34Wilmar3.01-9.88%-2.27%
FJ · Market Wrap  |  sgtraderclub.blogspot.com  |  Data: S&P Capital IQWeek 44

πŸ“Š Weekly charts:

-          STI weekly chart

 

πŸ“… Week Ahead (2–6 Nov 2026)

In the U.S., ISM manufacturing is due Monday 2 Nov and ISM services Wednesday 4 Nov, with the midterm elections on Tuesday 3 Nov (markets open as usual). The October jobs report follows Friday 6 Nov at 8:30 a.m. ET (9:30 p.m. Singapore time), the next read on the labour market before the Fed’s December meeting.

In China and Hong Kong, the ninth China International Import Expo runs in Shanghai from 5 to 10 Nov, while 3Q earnings season continues. Maybank Securities continues to favour defensive, dividend-yielding names.

In Singapore, Maybank Securities expects the banks to report 3Q results from 4-6 Nov, with net interest margins, earnings and dividends in focus. U.S. Treasury yields remain a key sensitivity for REITs.

πŸ—“️ Overarching Watchpoint

The biggest binary risk is whether U.S.-Iran diplomacy holds or military activity escalates after the 3 November midterms, which would swing oil, yields and the inflation outlook the Fed is trying to contain.

 

Source: Some content and data are excerpted from publicly available market reports.

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