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Sunday, February 8, 2026

U.S. Stocks Rotated to “Old Economy” Stocks from Tech

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ U.S. Stocks – Weekly Wrap

Market Overview
For the week ended 6 Feb 2026, U.S. major indexes closed a volatile week mixed as leadership rotated sharply away from large‑cap technology toward value, cyclicals and smaller‑cap stocks. High‑growth tech names suffered their weakest weekly performance since November, while “old‑economy” sectors extended their year‑to‑date outperformance.

The Nasdaq Composite (COMP) was the weakest major index, while the S&P 500 (SPX) finished little changed on the week. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), S&P MidCap 400 and Russell 2000 (RUT) posted solid gains, with the Russell 1000 Value Index outperforming its growth counterpart by more than 400 basis points and underscoring the strength of the ongoing rotation. Market action points to repricing and sector rotation rather than a deterioration in fundamentals, as investors reassess crowded mega‑cap growth exposure amid rising volatility.

(Refer to the major indices’ weekly tables below.)

Major Indices – Weekly Performance

  • Nasdaq Composite: −1.84%, worst performer amid broad tech sell‑off.
  • S&P 500: Flat on the week, consolidating below recent highs.
  • Dow Jones: Notched solid gains, supported by value and cyclical names.
  • S&P MidCap 400: Registered a strong advance.
  • Russell 2000: Extended its run of small‑cap leadership.

Overall, value stocks significantly outpaced growth, reinforcing the shift away from mega‑cap tech dominance.


Key Highlights for the Week and Outlook

1️⃣ Rotation toward “old economy” sectors accelerates
As tech stocks sold off, investors rotated into traditional sectors such as energy, chemicals, transportation, consumer staples and regional banks, which are benefiting from more attractive valuations and improving earnings momentum. The DJI, a useful proxy for “old‑economy” leadership, crossed the 50,000 level for the first time in history on 6 Feb and closed above that milestone. President Trump publicly highlighted the achievement, framing the new high as a sign of U.S. market strength. Economists have been revising growth estimates higher and now generally expect U.S. GDP to expand by roughly 2.5% in 2026, reflecting a soft‑landing rather than a recession scenario.

2️⃣ Tech reprices, not collapses
Despite recent weakness, technology earnings remain robust, with sector profits still projected to grow at a strong double‑digit pace year‑on‑year in 2026. The recent sell‑off has been driven mainly by valuation compression rather than earnings deterioration, as investors reassess AI‑related disruption risks, lofty expectations and the surge in capital‑expenditure plans across mega‑cap platforms.

3️⃣ Cooling U.S. labor market becomes clearer
A heavy slate of labor data pointed to softer conditions. ADP private payrolls for January came in well below consensus, job openings declined to their lowest level since the early‑pandemic period, initial jobless claims edged higher, and announced layoffs rose versus a year earlier, all signalling a continued cooling in labor demand. The overall message is that the labour market is normalising from very tight levels rather than collapsing outright.

4️⃣ Manufacturing rebounds; services remain steady
U.S. manufacturing activity rebounded into expansion, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 52.6 in January 2026, its first reading above 50 in a year and the strongest since 2022, driven by a sharp improvement in new orders. At the same time, the ISM Services PMI registered 53.8 in January, unchanged from December, marking its 19th consecutive month in expansion territory and confirming steady momentum in the broader services economy.

5️⃣ Risk appetite cools; speculative assets pull back
Risk appetite softened across more speculative corners of the market. Bitcoin extended its pullback from recent highs, while gold and silver corrected meaningfully after becoming technically overextended, as firmer real yields and the perception that Fed rate cuts may be delayed weighed on non‑yielding and high‑beta assets. The retracement looks more like healthy profit‑taking than a structural shift in long‑term trends at this stage.


S&P 500 Sectors in Focus

Eight of 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher on the week, with leadership continuing to broaden beyond technology. Consumer Staples (XLP) and Industrials (XLI) led gains, while Tech (XLK), Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Communication Services (XLC) — key parts of the growth complex — underperformed.

Outperformers:

  • Consumer Staples (XLP) – supported by defensive inflows and resilient earnings.
  • Industrials (XLI) – benefited from improving manufacturing data and infrastructure‑related demand.
  • Materials (XLB) – helped by signs of an industrial upturn and earlier strength in selected commodities.

Laggards:

  • Technology (XLK) – weighed by valuation compression and profit‑taking in AI leaders.
  • Consumer Discretionary (XLY) – softened alongside higher‑beta growth names.
  • Communication Services (XLC) – dragged down by weakness in internet and media platforms.

This rotation is helping normalise valuations and reduce concentration risk across portfolios. (Refer to the SPX sector ETF weekly performance table below.)


Technical Snapshot – Major U.S. Indices

  • S&P 500 (SPX): Consolidating just below record highs, with the primary uptrend intact despite increased sector churn.
  • Nasdaq Composite (COMP): Under pressure in the near term as large‑cap tech digests prior gains, but still holding above key medium‑term support levels.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI): Extended its breakout to new all‑time highs and traded above the 50,000 mark for the first time, confirming relative strength in value and cyclical leadership.

πŸ“Š Weekly charts:


πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China / πŸ‡­πŸ‡° Hong Kong Markets

Market Overview
Mainland A‑shares ended the week lower as volatility in commodity markets and weakness in technology stocks weighed on sentiment. The Shanghai Composite Index slipped 1.27%, while the blue‑chip CSI 300 Index fell 1.33%. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index dropped about 3.0% as regional tech and growth names came under renewed selling pressure.

  • CSI 300: −1.33%
  • Shanghai Composite (SSE): −1.27%
  • Hang Seng Index (HSI): −3.02%

Key Highlights – China & Hong Kong

1️⃣ Private PMI points to improving activity
A private survey compiled by S&P Global signalled a modest pickup in China’s economic activity in January. The RatingDog China General Services PMI rose to 52.3 in January 2026 from 52.0 in December, its highest reading in three months and above market expectations of 51.8, driven by faster growth in new business and a renewed rise in foreign sales. The associated RatingDog China General Manufacturing PMI increased to 50.3 in January from 50.1, marking a second consecutive month in expansion and the highest level since October, as export orders and output improved and hiring reached a three‑month high.

2️⃣ Official data highlight domestic softness
In contrast, official PMI data from China’s statistics bureau remained closer to or slightly below the 50 threshold, pointing to a more subdued domestic backdrop even as export‑oriented private firms show more resilience. This divergence reflects ongoing challenges in reviving household consumption and private investment. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg broadly expect the People’s Bank of China to deliver further monetary easing in 2026 to support activity.

3️⃣ Hong Kong under pressure amid tech sell‑off
Hong Kong equities fell in tandem with the global tech sell‑off, with the Hang Seng Index drifting lower throughout the week. Sentiment stayed cautious: Eastroc Beverage reportedly raised around HKD 10.1 billion in its Hong Kong listing and finished its first trading day roughly flat, suggesting a selective appetite for new issues. In contrast, Baidu outperformed after unveiling a USD 5 billion share‑buyback programme and a new dividend policy, underscoring a stronger focus on shareholder returns. Separately, BYD confirmed plans for a new India‑specific EV model, signalling an aggressive push to deepen overseas sales despite global trade headwinds.

Selected picks (MSSG):

  • CK Hutchison (1 HK): Divestments progressing despite Panama‑related headwinds.
  • BYD Co. (1211 HK): Subsidy cliff driving a temporary slowdown but long‑term EV growth story intact.
  • Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK): Macau January gaming revenue far exceeded expectations, supporting earnings momentum.
  • Pop Mart (9992 HK): Shares staging a strong recovery in 2026 on improving consumer and travel‑related demand.

(Refer to the Hang Seng Index constituents’ weekly performance table below.)

πŸ“Š Weekly charts:


πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¬ Singapore Market – Weekly Wrap

Market Overview
The Straits Times Index (STI) notched another record this week, rising about 0.6% to close around 4,934, continuing its slow‑but‑steady climb higher every week so far this year. The index came within roughly 20 points of the 5,000 mark at its intra‑week high, keeping the psychological milestone firmly in sight.

Market Leaders

Outperformers:

  • Keppel Corp (KEP): +6.5% – supported by optimism around energy, infrastructure and data‑centre‑related earnings.
  • Singapore Airlines (SIA): +5.5% – buoyed by resilient travel demand and firm yields.
  • Jardine Matheson (JMH): +4.0% – benefited from renewed interest in conglomerate and value names.

Banks:

  • DBS: +0.2% – marginal gain as investors rotated more aggressively into cyclicals and industrials.
  • UOB: +0.6% – modest outperformance among the local banks.
  • OCBC: Flat – consolidating after prior strength.

(Refer to the STI weekly performance table below.)

Technical Snapshot – STI
The STI remains in a strong primary uptrend, with prices grinding higher along rising support as money continues to flow into banks, industrials and blue‑chip value names. Short‑term momentum is mildly overbought, but shallow intraday pullbacks have been met with buying interest, keeping the 5,000 level a realistic upside target in the near term.

πŸ“Š Weekly chart:


Source: Some content and data are excerpted from publicly available market reports. Please comment to claim copyright ownership of any material, and it will be removed if necessary.

 

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