For a trader, winning is extremly dangerous if you haven't learned how to monitor and control yourself.

The Secret Recipe: Trading Success = Winning Trading System - U


Sunday, November 13, 2022

Stocks Surged on Cooling U.S Inflation, China’s Zero-Covid Policy Relaxation

Weekly Wrap Content for the week of Nov 11:

1. Week 45 major indexes performance;

2. Week 45 US sector indexes performance;

3. Major indexes weekly charts of support and resistance levels;

U.S

For the week of Nov 11, the U.S stocks recorded strong gains as investors celebrated reassuring inflation data and bond yields fell. The S&P 500 Index recorded its best week since June and hit its best intraday level in two months. After the release of consumer inflation data on Thursday, the index recorded its largest daily gain since April 2020. Growth stocks—technology and internet-related shares, in particular—benefited the most from falling yields, which typically increase the perceived value of future profits. Refer to major indexes’ weekly performance tables below.

Key highlights for the week and outlook:                

1.    Cooling Inflation: Data released on Thursday showed the headline consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.4% in October, less than consensus expectations of roughly 0.6% and bringing the year-over-year increase to 7.7%—still well above the Federal Reserve’s target, but the slowest increase since January. Also core inflation retreats to 6.3% from a 40-year high of 6.6% in September. 

2.    Midterm election: Tuesday’s midterm election results and the chance that the Democratic Party might retain some control of Congress may have weighed on markets when they opened on Wednesday morning, with some investors favoring a divided government that would restrain new spending and regulation. 

3.    FTX crypto exchange bankruptcy Saga: The collapse of the leading cryptocurrency exchange this week drove a further decline in Bitcoin and other currencies and appeared to foster some broader market volatility. 

SPX sectors in play

All 11 sectors in the S&P 500 ended green this week. Technology(XLK) and Communication Services(XLC) sectors outperformed. Growth stocks—technology and internet-related shares benefited the most from falling yields. The usual defensive Utilities(XLU) and Healthcare(XLV) stocks lagged. Refer to below SPX sector indexes weekly performance table.

Indexes technical levels

Technically, DJI index rebounded back to around three months high. SPX and Nasdaq indexes were back to around their two months’ respective highs. Dow was the strongest one which crossed major moving averages 200dma and 250dma already. Click to view below the three major indexes’ weekly charts.

DJI weekly chart

SPX weekly chart

Nasdaq weekly chart

China/HK

China’s stock markets received a late boost from the surprise drop in U.S. inflation but trailed most other global markets as investors worried about new signs of economic fragility.  The Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.54% this week.

SSE weekly chart

News of additional support for the troubled housing market helped provide some relief to property stocks. Chinese officials ordered second-tier banks to extend another USD 56 billion in loans to developers, according to Bloomberg.

A surge in COVID cases, with the number of daily cases reaching above 10,000 for the first time in over a year, threatened further lockdowns and appeared to weigh on sentiment for much of the week. Nevertheless, Friday’s rally also seemed to have been helped by a relaxation in China’s strict “zero-COVID” policy.

Data shows China’s Exports fell 0.3% in Oct, well below the 4.3% increase that that analysts polled by Reuters had predicted and the first drop since early in the pandemic. Imports also fell 0.7% as weakening domestic demand compensated for increases in purchases of most commodities.

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index rallied for 2nd week in a row, gained another 7.21% after previous week’s 8.73% surge, which was the biggest weekly gain in 11 years.

.HSI weekly chart

Singapore

STI index closed 3rd week up in a row, tested its 200dma at 3231 level on Friday and closed just off it.  Do watch immediate resistance level 3231(200dma) in coming week.

STI weekly chart

 

Source: Contents/Data including information from various public market reports

No comments: