Summary of content for the week of Aug 9:
1. Week 32 major indexes performance;
2. Week 32 US sector indexes performance;
3. Major indexes weekly charts of support and resistance levels;
U.S
U.S stocks finished the week modestly lower after a week of elevated volatility. The major indexes hit their worst day of the year on Monday, while the fear index VIX spiked up to a high of 24.81, -its highest since Jan 3 this year. Stocks recovered their losses in subsequent trading days but remained volatile. The VIX closed at 17.97 at its 2-month high. As global market reacted to an unexpected drop in China's currency to below key psychological level 7 against the dollar, which was viewed as in response to U.S new tariff schedule to take effect in Sep.
U.S 10-year bond dropped to 1.745 new low in three years. As risk-off sentiment increases. Having said that, the U.S stocks still looking in good shape, given its strong economy, accommodate with Fed's low-interest rate. U.S stocks do not look like crashing anytime soon.
Among the major 11 SPX sectors, Energy(XLE) was the worst performer attributed to a surprise rise in U.S inventories. The fall in long-time interest rate favoring real estate stocks, Real Estate(XLRE) was the top performer in the week.
China/HK
China stocks seem to bear the high impact on the escalation of U.S-China trade war, Shanghai SSE index had breakdown its Jun technical support and hit a new low since Feb this year. HK stocks had a sharp loss this week, nearly given up as HK's street unrest putting more direct impact on its economy as its latest data shows. HK is in the risk of a technical recession, the situation is worse than SARS and 2008 financial crisis impact.
Singapore
STI was hit hard for 2nd week with 2.83% or 92.17pts loss. It fell to its bottom uptrend line as shown in below weekly chart. Downside support at 3167 then 3100 level.
Weekly market analysis covering Singapore, US, Hong Kong and China — stocks, REITs, ETFs and trading perspectives.
Monday, August 12, 2019
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